New York Times Columnist Ezra Klein spoke on Tuesday with a Democratic pollster about how the dream of an Ascendant Democratic majority Implodes because younger voters, especially white men, flee the party.
Klein interviewed David Shor, the head of Data Science at Blue Rose Research, a democratic polling station, for his podcast In an episode entitled “Democrats must face why Trump won.”
When small and Shor rated countless maps, including a headlined, “2024 Democratic support per age split by race and gender”, the pollster explained that in this card in particular “one thing you can notice, is that among the 18-year-olds, women of the four (racing and gender memographic groups) is the only one (racing and gendermographic groups”.
The Times columnist grabbed a “shocking” finding in the data that one of the core beliefs of the Democratic Party defies.
NYT -Columnist Ezra Klein wondered how old assumptions of the Democratic Party about the youth voice that save them were completely interrupted by the recent elections.
Journalist says CNN that the benefit of the Democrats with young men ‘has disappeared completely’ is
“I find this part of this graph shocking. I sometimes talk about narrative violations, and when we knew something Donald Trump Eight years ago it was that young people didn’t like him. And Republicans may have thrown away young people for generations to walk up their margins among seniors, “said Klein.” But if you look at this card, the 75-year-old white men supported Kamala Harris at a considerably higher pace than 20-year-old white men. “
“It is a real shift,” Sorded Shor. “This is what I have shocked the most in the last four years – that young people have gone of the most progressive generation since the baby boomers, and perhaps even more in some respects, to potentially become the most conservative generation that we may have experienced in 50 to 60 years.”
The data expert continued discussing what he called ‘the scariest graph in this entire presentation’, which shows the massive and historically unusual polarization between young men and women.
“What is strange is that if you look at people under the age of 30, the gender gorge has exploded. Eighteen-year-old men were more likely to support Donald Trump than 18-year-old women, which is simply unprecedented in American politics,” said Shor.
Ezra Klein and David Shor concentrated on how young white men were exponentially less inclined to have supported Kamala Harris in the elections than 75-year-old white men, emphasized in the image by vertical yellow bars.
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Although he argued that it is still too early to explain exactly why, Shor noted that there are similar patterns in countries such as Canada, the UK and Norway.
“There is a lot of research here, but it is still very striking,” said Shor. “It is similar to how many people talk about the problem of democratic young men – and it is still underestimated somehow, because the actual figures are just a lot worse than people think.”
Klein has noticed countless factors in recent years, ranging from the #MeToo movement and the rise of The manosphere, How “there is a feeling that the Democratic party becomes much more a pro-women’s party and in some respects, kind of anti-Young men. And that in turn had a huge effect on the political opinions of young men.”
Shor replied by again emphasizing that “this seems to be a global phenomenon” and says that he wants to concentrate on the “broader cultural shifts”.
After discussing a theory that part of the polarization can be powered by how men and women deal with enormous content on social media, Klein again spoke about how democratic stories have fallen apart about a rising majority from younger generations.
Trump’s performances on countless podcasts that are popular with young men are credited as an important reason why he has won their support and therefore the elections. (Impaulsive youtube -channel)
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“Democrats are now being destroyed among young voters. I think, even when the idea of ​​the rising demographic democratic majority was discredited a bit in 2016 and 2020, Democrats believed that these young voters would eventually save them,” he said.
“They thought this was a last sigh of something and that if Donald Trump could not rise his number among seniors and your millennials and gene Z would really get to the vapor, that would be the end of this Republican party. That is just completely false, and it might be the beginning of this Republican Party,“Klein added.
“I have to admit that I was one of those liberals four years ago and it seems that I was wrong,” Shor replied. “The future has a way to surprise us.”
