Top Political Handicapper reveals predictions for ‘Volatile’ 2026 Battle for House majority


The battle for control over the House of Representatives In the 2026, interim elections will be fought on a limited battlefield, predicts a leading non -party -related political handicapper.

The Cook Political Report, because it revealed its first rankings for the next interim elections on Thursday, mentioned 10 Democratic seats and eight Republican controlled Seats like Gooi.

De Gop, when at full power, will hold a razor-thin majority of 220-215 in the house, which means that in 2026 the Democrats only need a win with three seats to recover the room for the first time in four years .

“Another knife fight for the majority” is the head of the cooking report used to describe the house showdown in advance.

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And Cook Report Publisher and editor-in-chief Amy Walter Spot in a social media post that a “small playing field + volatile political climate = epic battle for house control”.

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The 10 House Democrats Whose re -elections are mentioned as Goois are: reps. Adam Gray van California (CA-13); Derek Tran of California (CA-45); Jared Golden van Maine (ME-02); Gabe Vasquez from New Mexico (NM-02); Laura Gillen from New York (NY-04); Don Davis van North Carolina (NC-01); Marcy Kaptur van Ohio (OH-09); Emilia Sykes from Ohio (OH-13); Vicente Gonzalez from Texas (TX-34); and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez from Washington State (WA-03).

Democratic Rep. Jared Golden van Maine

Democratic Rep. Jared Golden van Maine speaks at a press conference in the State House in Augusta, Maine, on November 1, 2022. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)

The eight Republicans who are as vulnerable by the Cook Report are: reps. David Schweikert van Arizona (AZ-01); Juan Ciscomani from Arizona (AZ-06); Gabe Evans of Colorado (CO-08); Mariannette Miller-Meks from Iowa (IA-01); Tom Barrett from Michigan (Mi-07); Don Bacon of Nebraska (NE-02); Ryan Mackenzie from Pennsylvania (PA-07); and Scott Perry from Pennsylvania (PA-10).

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Republican rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks Campaigns

Republican rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks from Iowa speaks on the set of the Podcast “Barn Talk” on the Whisler Family Farm near Washington, Iowa, on November 1, 2024. (Nick Rohlman/The Gazette via AP)

President Donald Trump The White House recaptured, the Republicans reversed control of the Senate and De Gop held his fragile house majority in the November elections.

That means that Republicans will not only defend a razor preservation of majority – when all 435 house chairs will be picked up again in 2026 – but are also confronted with a lot of history, because the party in Power is traditionally confronted with election wind in the mid -terms.

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But the er Covedy and Matthew Klein of the Cook Report noted that “although their majority is dangerously thin, in some respects, Republicans start in a stronger position than in 2018. The last victory of Trump was wide; he clawed background in the suburbs That in the suburbs that was left to the left and massive inland roads in urban areas.

They added that “almost all the most competitive house districts moved to the right between 2020 and 2024 (the 3rd district of Washington was the only exception).”

The American Capitol in Washington, DC

The American Capitol in Washington, DC, can be seen on December 12, 2024. (Fox News – Paul Steinhauser)

Spokesperson Mike Marinella of the National Republican Congress Committee has advertised Mike Marinella in a statement that “mathematics is in our favor, and it is clear house republicans for 2026.”

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He also claimed that “Huisdemocrats are in ruins – they have no clear message and they are unable to sell voters on their failed agenda. We will work tirelessly to hold the Democratic Party responsible and let our Republican majority grow.”

Courtney Rice, communication director of the Rival Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, emphasized that “voters will hold home republicans responsible for not reducing costs and at the same time promote a culture of corruption that benefits their billionaire finances”.

“The political environment is in favor of Democrats on their way to 2026 – and with stellar candidates aimed at supplying their districts, house democrats are ready to take back the majority in 2026,” Rice predicted.